No Recommendation
No Recommendation - AD59
Based on our analysis, this district will be a safe Republican seat in the 2024 election cycle. While a Democratic candidate is unlikely to win, we recommend that you choose the candidate who best aligns to your values in this race.
Governance, community leadership experience, and background: Democrat Dave Obrand has not previously run for public office.
Obrand is a litigation attorney, and spent the early years of his legal career in private practice, working primarily on cases related to public education, employment, contracts, and personal injury. He is currently serving as deputy county counsel for Orange County.
The Race
Primary election: There are two candidates running in the March 5 primary, including Dave Obrand (D), and incumbent Assm. Phillip Chen (R). The top two vote recipients will advance to the general election on November 5.
Candidate fundraising and pledges: Obrand’s campaign has raised $5,000 as of December 2023, and is not funded by police, real estate, fossil fuel, or corporate PAC interests.
Opposing candidate: Republican Assm. Phillip Chen
Opposing candidate’s fundraising and pledges: Assm. Chen’s campaign has raised $492,000 as of December 2023, and is funded by police, real estate, fossil fuel, and corporate PAC interests.
The District
Counties in district: California’s 59th Assembly District includes parts of Orange and San Bernardino Counties.
Voter registration: 33% Democrat, 39% Republican, and 22% No Party Preference. Democrats held this district until 2020 when redistricting resulted in it flipping from blue to red.
District demographics: 23% Latino, 20% Asian, and 2% Black.
Recent election results: AD-59 voted for Donald Trump for president in 2020 by 1 point and Brian Dahle for governor in 2022 by 16 points.
The Position
State assemblymembers represent and advocate for the needs of their district constituents at the California State Capitol. They are responsible for creating, debating, and voting on legislation that addresses issues within their district.
The California State Assembly has 80 districts. Each represents a population of at least 465,000 Californians. Representatives are elected to the Assembly for a two-year term. Every two years, all 80 seats are subject to election. Members elected before 2012 are restricted to three two-year terms (six years) in the Assembly. Those elected in or after 2012 are allowed to serve 12 years total across both the state Senate or Assembly. This term, Democrats currently hold a three-quarters supermajority of 60 seats in the California State Assembly, while Republicans hold 19 seats and one seat is held by an Independent.
No Recommendation - AD59
Based on our analysis, this district will be a safe Republican seat in the 2024 election cycle. While a Democratic candidate is unlikely to win, we recommend that you choose the candidate who best aligns to your values in this race.
Governance, community leadership experience, and background: Democrat Dave Obrand has not previously run for public office.
Obrand is a litigation attorney, and spent the early years of his legal career in private practice, working primarily on cases related to public education, employment, contracts, and personal injury. He is currently serving as deputy county counsel for Orange County.
The Race
Primary election: There are two candidates running in the March 5 primary, including Dave Obrand (D), and incumbent Assm. Phillip Chen (R). The top two vote recipients will advance to the general election on November 5.
Candidate fundraising and pledges: Obrand’s campaign has raised $5,000 as of December 2023, and is not funded by police, real estate, fossil fuel, or corporate PAC interests.
Opposing candidate: Republican Assm. Phillip Chen
Opposing candidate’s fundraising and pledges: Assm. Chen’s campaign has raised $492,000 as of December 2023, and is funded by police, real estate, fossil fuel, and corporate PAC interests.
The District
Counties in district: California’s 59th Assembly District includes parts of Orange and San Bernardino Counties.
Voter registration: 33% Democrat, 39% Republican, and 22% No Party Preference. Democrats held this district until 2020 when redistricting resulted in it flipping from blue to red.
District demographics: 23% Latino, 20% Asian, and 2% Black.
Recent election results: AD-59 voted for Donald Trump for president in 2020 by 1 point and Brian Dahle for governor in 2022 by 16 points.
The Position
State assemblymembers represent and advocate for the needs of their district constituents at the California State Capitol. They are responsible for creating, debating, and voting on legislation that addresses issues within their district.
The California State Assembly has 80 districts. Each represents a population of at least 465,000 Californians. Representatives are elected to the Assembly for a two-year term. Every two years, all 80 seats are subject to election. Members elected before 2012 are restricted to three two-year terms (six years) in the Assembly. Those elected in or after 2012 are allowed to serve 12 years total across both the state Senate or Assembly. This term, Democrats currently hold a three-quarters supermajority of 60 seats in the California State Assembly, while Republicans hold 19 seats and one seat is held by an Independent.